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	<title>Analyze the Data not the Drivel.</title>
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	<description>I will resort to logic when all else fails.</description>
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		<title>Analyze the Data not the Drivel.</title>
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		<title>More Photographic Waybacking</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/05/23/more-photographic-waybacking/</link>
		<comments>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/05/23/more-photographic-waybacking/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 15:25:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nostalgia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Photography]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Restoration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[snapshots]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/?p=4048</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There are three things I like about funerals: meeting old friends and relatives you haven’t seen for years, unlimited quantities of food and browsing old photographs. A few weeks ago my sister and sister-in-law went through my mother’s closets and found a stash of old photographs that had eluded my frequent attempts to catalog and archive [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=4048&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are three things I like about funerals: meeting old friends and relatives you haven’t seen for years, unlimited quantities of food and <a href="http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2012/03/17/the-joys-of-photographic-waybacking/">browsing old photographs</a>. A few weeks ago my sister and sister-in-law went through my mother’s closets and found a stash of old photographs that had eluded my frequent attempts to catalog and archive family pictures.</p>
<p>I have a thing about family pictures. If you want to piss me off make a big pile of your family’s pictures and set them on fire! For reasons that are utterly inexplicable to me many of you don’t seem to give a damn about your family pictures. My wife’s father was a very organized photographer that took hundreds, maybe thousands, of black and white snapshots in Iran from the 1940s to the 1970s. Apparently he took the time to meticulously label each print with where, when and who information. I would love to paw through his pictures but that’s not possible because his kids, my wife’s siblings, trashed most of his pictures. The few that survive, like this one of him sitting and reading a newspaper, hint at a <em>never to seen again world.</em></p>
<div id="attachment_4055" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 380px"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/People/My-Wifes-Family/7081266_Gq5ZQB#!i=473480027&amp;k=f2jN5SP&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A" rel="attachment wp-att-4055"><img class=" wp-image-4055    " title="My wife's father reading a newspaper 1955." alt="My wife's father reading a newspaper 1955." src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/mahmood-with-newspaper-259125453.jpg?w=370&#038;h=250" width="370" height="250" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">My wife&#8217;s father reading a newspaper 1955.</p></div>
<p>Such crimes against imagery are common. My maternal grandmother was also a keen <em>unorganized</em> photographer. She didn&#8217;t label prints or neatly file slides but she shot everything that caught her eye. Over six decades she piled up thousands of images, but when she moved into town, she accidentally sold stacks of what she thought were empty slide carousels to yard sale strangers. Some of the carousels were empty but the rest held the bulk or her slide collection. The surviving images, like this old Kodachrome of my great-grandmother and her sister, constantly remind me of all the great shots I will never see! Don’t trash your family pictures you will grow to regret it.</p>
<div id="attachment_4060" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 342px"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/People/From-Hazels-Albums-1/7104752_FZK4j4#!i=475252263&amp;k=s7FVxLV&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A" rel="attachment wp-att-4060"><img class=" wp-image-4060    " title="My great-grandmother (light blue dress) and her sister 1950s." alt="My great-grandmother (light blue dress) and her sister 1950s." src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/great-grandma-raver-with-sister-maude-1950s.jpg?w=332&#038;h=465" width="332" height="465" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">My great-grandmother (light blue dress) and her sister 1950s.</p></div>
<p>My mother’s recently recovered stash held a few gems I had never seen like this great little snapshot of my maternal grandmother with her two daughters: my late mother as a pouty girl and my aunt as a baby. The old car in the background would be marked down as a &#8220;distracting element&#8221; in many photography classes. This merely shows how bad the advice and guidelines dispensed in such courses can be. The car is an essential element; it turns a nice snapshot into a sweet period piece.</p>
<div id="attachment_4067" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 370px"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/People/From-Hazels-Albums-1/7104752_FZK4j4#!i=2524884643&amp;k=WcQmrR4&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A" rel="attachment wp-att-4067"><img class=" wp-image-4067 " title="Hazel, Alberta (baby) and Evelyn 1940." alt="Hazel, Alberta (baby) and Evelyn 1940." src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/hazel-evelyn-alberta-car-1940.jpg?w=360&#038;h=540" width="360" height="540" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Hazel, Alberta (baby) and Evelyn 1940.</p></div>
<p>Here’s another snapshot of my mother and aunt with a puppy. This picture is almost seventy years old but I still see the same expression on my aunt’s face. Your smile is a lifelong affliction; I would recommend getting used to it.</p>
<div id="attachment_4069" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 410px"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/People/From-Hazels-Albums-1/7104752_FZK4j4#!i=2525057933&amp;k=DsggvtX&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A" rel="attachment wp-att-4069"><img class=" wp-image-4069  " title="Evelyn and Alberta with puppy 1944." alt="Evelyn and Alberta with puppy 1944." src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-alberta-puppy-1944.jpg?w=400&#038;h=227" width="400" height="227" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Evelyn and Alberta with puppy 1944.</p></div>
<p>Along with the <em>amateur</em> snapshots a number of professional studio portraits turned up. The following is a hand tinted print of my mother as a ten-year old. Color photography obliterated the art of hand tinting. It is rarely seen outside of photographic art classes today. Tinting is often unnatural and hokey but it sometimes lends an eerie painting quality. Here the tinting works. Tinted prints are becoming rare and valuable. Don’t throw them away!</p>
<div id="attachment_4057" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 312px"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/People/From-Hazels-Albums-1/7104752_FZK4j4#!i=2521568789&amp;k=sg9BR5f&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A" rel="attachment wp-att-4057"><img class=" wp-image-4057       " title="Evelyn age ten hand tinted 1945." alt="Evelyn age ten hand tinted 1945." src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-eggar-studio-tinted-1945.jpg?w=302&#038;h=423" width="302" height="423" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Evelyn age ten hand tinted 1945.</p></div>
<p>Finally, here’s a wonderful never seen portrait of my mother as an eleven year old. This may be the best portrait of my mother at any age. The studio photographer caught her in the middle of a great smile. This picture was taken over six decades ago but I doubt that modern imaging technology could significantly improve it.</p>
<div id="attachment_4056" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 330px"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/People/From-Hazels-Albums-1/7104752_FZK4j4#!i=2521568625&amp;k=86Sn8rs&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A" rel="attachment wp-att-4056"><img class=" wp-image-4056  " title="Evelyn age eleven studio portrait 1946." alt="Evelyn age eleven studio portrait 1946." src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-eggar-bruno-studio-portrait.jpg?w=320&#038;h=481" width="320" height="481" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Evelyn age eleven studio portrait 1946.</p></div>
<p>Finding this portrait shortly after my mother’s death took away some of the sting. I had a great mother, and because I treat family pictures with the respect they deserve, I have the photographic evidence to prove it.</p>
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		<media:content url="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/mahmood-with-newspaper-259125453.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">My wife&#039;s father reading a newspaper 1955.</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/great-grandma-raver-with-sister-maude-1950s.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">My great-grandmother (light blue dress) and her sister 1950s.</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/hazel-evelyn-alberta-car-1940.jpg?w=450" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Hazel, Alberta (baby) and Evelyn 1940.</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-alberta-puppy-1944.jpg?w=500" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Evelyn and Alberta with puppy 1944.</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-eggar-studio-tinted-1945.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Evelyn age ten hand tinted 1945.</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-eggar-bruno-studio-portrait.jpg?w=500" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Evelyn age eleven studio portrait 1946.</media:title>
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		<title>Evelyn&#8217;s Eulogy</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/05/15/evelyns-eulogy/</link>
		<comments>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/05/15/evelyns-eulogy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 May 2013 00:04:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eulogy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evelyn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[funeral]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Last Saturday, May 11, 2013, I attended my mother&#8217;s funeral and gave this short eulogy.  I will start with an apology. I hope to make it through this without crying. There is a reason husbands, sons and daughters are not encouraged to give eulogies; we don’t always make it through them. Never-the-less I am going [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=4027&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p dir="ltr"><em>Last Saturday, May 11, 2013, I attended my <a href="http://www.franzen-davis.com/fh/obituaries/obituary.cfm?o_id=2084629&amp;fh_id=14384">mother&#8217;s funeral </a>and gave this short eulogy. </em></p>
<p dir="ltr"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/People/The-Way-We-Were/7056082_X8X9pK#!i=473528824&amp;k=mkSbVJX&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-4036" style="margin-left:8px;margin-right:8px;" alt="" src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-jasper-1971-71052985.jpg?w=107&#038;h=150" width="107" height="150" /></a>I will start with an apology. I hope to make it through this without crying. There is a reason husbands, sons and daughters are not encouraged to give eulogies; we don’t always make it through them. Never-the-less I am going to talk because if there is one thing my mother loved it was talking to her children, her family and her friends. I have probably spent more time talking to my mother than any other person. Many of you here today have fond memories of talking to my mother. She always engaged with relish, gusto, enthusiasm, intelligence, wit and most importantly respect.</p>
<p dir="ltr">My mother treated everyone with respect. She had only one class: human being, and we were all invited in.  Of course mom was aware of social standing, rank, professional achievements and all the other distinctions we sort ourselves with but she wasn&#8217;t going to treat you differently just because you’re the CEO of an oil company or shot par on the Old Course, and, in Mr. T’s immortal words, “I pity the man,”  <em>and it was usually a man,</em> that expected her to fawn over such trivialities. If I where to design a coat of arms for mom it might say <em>Bane of Bullshitters</em> &#8211; in Latin of course.</p>
<p dir="ltr"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/People/The-Way-We-Were/7056082_X8X9pK#!i=473519740&amp;k=Z64DmrR&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A"><img class=" wp-image-4037 alignright" style="margin-left:8px;margin-right:8px;" alt="-" src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-old-white-chevy-1960-117080879.jpg?w=89&#038;h=150" width="89" height="150" /></a>I loved talking with mom and her words shaped me in ways that I am still discovering. Of all my teachers she was the greatest. <em>She laid my moral keel with reason.</em> She always provided good reasons for me to stop being a moron and seldom resorted to the, “because I’m you’re mother,” edict. After learning of mom’s illness I have spent a lot of time thinking about her. I vainly thought I might go through my memories and craft a biggest hits montage. Where do we get such dumb ideas?  Every nook and cranny of my mind is filled with mom.  My best qualities are largely her doing  &#8212;  my worst &#8212; well,  that’s my own work. I will never separate out mom because so much of who I am is due to her.  Mom is gone but she lives on in the people she influenced.</p>
<p dir="ltr">A few days ago Sharon, an old friend of my sister Aileen, sent us a message about my mom.  Aileen, Sharon and my mom basically hung out when Aileen and Sharon were teenagers. This is some of what she wrote:</p>
<blockquote>
<p dir="ltr">I remember Evelyn as a beautiful, extremely intelligent, witty and gracious woman. I am honored to have known her in my younger years, when she accepted me into her family and her heart as if I were another daughter. Those times that I spent visiting with Evelyn and the whole family sharing adventures with them in Scotland, Denmark, Barbados and lastly Frank and Evelyn&#8217;s 50th anniversary celebration in Toronto at the Royal York Hotel are forever etched in my memory as special highlights in my life.</p>
<p dir="ltr">When Evelyn said goodbye to me at the end of that evening in Toronto, over ten years ago, she gave me a hug and said, &#8220;Have a good life Sharon.&#8221;  I&#8217;ve never forgotten her words of good wishes and love and they have stayed close to my heart over all of these years</p>
<p dir="ltr">Thank you Evelyn, your wishes and loving spirit followed me and yes, I have been fortunate to have a good life. You were one of the person&#8217;s who I looked up to with admiration when I was younger and wanted to be something like you. Although I could never be as good as you, haven&#8217;t lived the life of high adventure and I haven&#8217;t been the world explorer and traveller that you were,  <em>I was deeply influenced by you.</em>  I always wanted to be someone who wasn&#8217;t afraid to try new things, wanted to be adaptable, wanted to experience the world,  examine the world, understand different cultural and geographic perspectives, know things that you just don&#8217;t learn staying in one&#8217;s own back yard, and embrace the whole world in all of its idiosyncrasies and wonderful beauty. You led me to those desires and I think <em>my life has been better because of you.</em> I always loved your wittiness, humor and intelligent perspective and enjoyed our many talks about almost everything. <em>You were like a mother, but even better!</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>I’d like to think that people who really got to know my mother feel the same as Sharon.</p>
<p>Ours is a culture of things. We’re not encouraged to think about the people in our lives as our most precious gifts but at the end of a life our things do not matter. What matters: who we love, and who loves us! Mom loved all of us and that’s why we all love her. Good bye mom.</p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/Themes/Diaries/Cell-Phoning-It-In/17756793_PfCsJz#!i=1864282289&amp;k=c6LtfcW&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A"><img class="size-thumbnail wp-image-4035 aligncenter" alt="evelyn eclipse hat iphone" src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/evelyn-eclipse-hat-iphone.jpg?w=150&#038;h=112" width="150" height="112" /></a></p>
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		<title>Now for a Nursing Home</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/04/27/now-for-a-nursing-home/</link>
		<comments>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/04/27/now-for-a-nursing-home/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Apr 2013 22:23:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brain cancer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Glioblastoma]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nursing home]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday my mother left the Bozeman Deaconess hospital and went to a nursing home. The week before she fell on the way to a radiation appointment. The fall was serious enough to put her back in the hospital. The poor woman has been in and out of hospitals for six months. She has terminal brain cancer and [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=3960&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday my mother left the Bozeman Deaconess hospital and went to a nursing home. The week before she fell on the way to a radiation appointment. The fall was serious enough to put her back in the hospital. The poor woman has been in and out of hospitals for six months. She has terminal brain cancer and is about half way through her radiation treatments. When her radiation and chemotherapy treatments end  the focus will be on keeping her comfortable and pain-free until she dies.</p>
<p>My mother&#8217;s mental state is up and down. The tumor started near her speech centers on the left side of her brain. The surgeons managed to remove most of the tumor and the radiation and chemo have kept the remnant in check. Unfortunately, the cancer and surgery have impaired her speech and memory. She cannot reliably recall her birthday or tell us what year it is. Sometimes she cannot recall why she is in the rest home and her sense of time is out of whack. Today she was asking for her own mother: a woman who died six years ago.</p>
<p>People have mixed feelings about losing your mind when you&#8217;re close to death. Some say it&#8217;s a blessing. It takes away the fear and blunts oppressive anxiety. Others feel it&#8217;s a premature death. What&#8217;s the point of living if you cannot remember your life? I&#8217;ve watched Alzheimer&#8217;s drain people from the inside out leaving breathing hulks where sentient beings once dwelled. Brain cancer is faster but it seldom dulls the fear and comes with a menagerie of cognitive deficits. Believe me sudden unexpected death has many benefits.</p>
<p>One thing is clear, don&#8217;t expect your golden years to unfurl like some idiotic AARP or Viagra commercial. Forget about banging hotties or gathering around the campfire with a horde of cute grandchildren. You&#8217;ll be lucky to get out of bed for bowel movements. Old people smell is a real mixture of loaded adult diapers and stale body odor. Live now &#8212; there&#8217;s always time for death.</p>
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		<title>At the Palliative Care Ward</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/04/22/at-the-palliative-care-ward/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2013 02:36:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bozeman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bozeman Deaconess]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brain cancer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cancer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Glioblastoma]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Glioblastoma Multiforme]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Visiting hospitals is almost as tiring as staying in them. For the last few days my siblings and I have taken turns spending the night with our mother in the Bozeman Deaconess&#8217;s palliative care ward. She is terminally ill and doesn&#8217;t want to be alone. Keeping her company is about the only thing we can [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=3958&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Visiting hospitals is almost as tiring as staying in them. For the last few days my siblings and I have taken turns spending the night with our mother in the Bozeman Deaconess&#8217;s palliative care ward. She is terminally ill and doesn&#8217;t want to be alone. Keeping her company is about the only thing we can do for her. I am pecking out this blog entry on my phone while my mum sleeps. It&#8217;s her sole break these days.</p>
<p>About two months ago my mother was diagnosed with stage four Glioblastoma Multiforme a nasty aggressive terminal brain cancer. I was terribly upset when I first learned of her illness. This cancer is utterly lethal. If it doesn&#8217;t kill you it&#8217;s because something else gets you first. In black humor circles this cancer is called &#8220;the terminator&#8221; and unlike Arnold&#8217;s robot this terminator cannot be crushed in a machine press.</p>
<p>We&#8217;re all adjusting to this new reality in our own ways. I have been surprised at the excessively decent behavior of my greater family, my in-laws and even my &#8220;outlaws.&#8221; My long divorced first wife, a Canadian physician, made the trip from eastern Canada, to help my parents. My dad said, &#8220;that was darn decent of her,&#8221; and it was. My younger brother has shown an ability to care for others that we never noticed before. He is determined to see mom live as long as possible. My chaotic sister has a very effective bedside manner. She&#8217;s been brushing my mother&#8217;s teeth and fussing with her scarves and hair. My dad, never noted for doling out care, is spending long hours sitting and talking with mom. My wife, currently tied down in Toronto with her own demented mother, is more upset about my mom than I am. Her sisters are encouraging her to let them look after their mum so she can get west to see mine. Everyone has shown compassion and concern. I may have to reassess my negative view of mankind.</p>
<p>As for myself, I had a few teary moments when I first heard the news, but I have recovered my phlegmatic state. Right now I am more tired than sad. I expect to grieve and mourn soon enough. For now I will keep my mother company and try to steal a few hours of sleep on the bench beside her bed.</p>
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		<title>Review: The Signal and the Noise</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/03/27/review-the-signal-and-the-noise/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Mar 2013 01:41:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fukushima]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nate Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[noise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[signal]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[There is nothing like being right to make an impression. After calling the majority of congressional districts in the 2012 US election Nate Silver enjoyed his 15 minutes of fame. Before his election prediction I was only dimly aware of Nate Silver. I knew he worked for the New York Times, but that&#8217;s no longer [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=3901&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/The-Signal-Noise-Predictions-ebook/dp/B007V65R54"><img class="alignleft" style="margin-left:0;margin-right:8px;" alt="signal-and-noise-cover" src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/signal-and-noise-cover.jpg?w=143&#038;h=216" width="143" height="216" /></a>There is nothing like being right to make an impression. After calling the <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/07/nate-silver-obama-reelection_n_2086556.html">majority of congressional districts</a> in the 2012 US election <a href="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/">Nate Silver</a> enjoyed his 15 minutes of fame. Before his election prediction I was only dimly aware of Nate Silver. I knew he worked for the New York Times, but that&#8217;s no longer an indicator of excellence or even sanity. Heck, even Nobel Prizes no longer guarantee excellence or sanity. Obama, vain narcissist that he is, was <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703746604574463171820234630.html">embarrassed</a> by the dolts on the Nobel Peace Prize committee that confused existence for accomplishment.</p>
<p>It wasn&#8217;t Silver&#8217;s employer that led me to his book; it was <em>his stint as a serious poker player</em> that told me he wasn&#8217;t a standard NYT brain-dead progressive. <strong><em>Progressives do not bet with their own money!</em> </strong>They bet with other people&#8217;s money. Anyone that puts <em>their money where their mouth is</em> is worth a hearing and Silver is worth a hearing</p>
<p><em>The Signal and the Noise</em> is a series of essays about making predictions. It won&#8217;t surprise anyone to learn that some fields suffer poor, dare I say idiotic, predictors. Economists and partisan policy wonks are among the worst. Silver&#8217;s statistics show many of these people are clueless ideologues or cynical liars. They&#8217;re not even reliable contra-indicators. If only Nancy Pelosi, that Botox saturated crone, was consistently wrong, rather than randomly moronic, we might profit from her emissions.</p>
<p>As bad as some predictors are it&#8217;s not all bleak. Meteorologists have dramatically improved their forecasts. A few decades ago it was anyone&#8217;s guess where hurricanes would hit land. Now it&#8217;s possible to forecast landfalls within a hundred miles two days in advance. The weather service called Katrina before it hit New Orleans. It&#8217;s too bad so many ignored the warning.</p>
<p>One of the best sections in <em>The Signal and the Noise</em> deals with the dangers of &#8220;over-fitting&#8221;, over-fitting occurs when a model ends up modeling noise instead of signal. Over-fitting is an egregious statistical error but human beings are evolved over-fitters. If you &#8220;predict&#8221; the wind is shaking a bush and it&#8217;s a tiger you&#8217;re cat food. If you predict a tiger is shaking a bush and it&#8217;s the wind you have a bad hair day. Evolution favors the latter. If life is short, nasty and brutish, it pays to over-fit immediate dangers. This is not the case when over-fitting tells you something is highly unlikely when it isn&#8217;t.</p>
<p>Silver makes a good case for the <a href="http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Safety-and-Security/Safety-of-Plants/Fukushima-Accident-2011/#.UVOeghfBOSo">Fukushima </a>nuclear disaster going down in history as a classic case of the dangers of over-fitting. Earthquakes are currently unpredictable. Silver goes over the history of earthquake prediction and it&#8217;s sobering. Forecasts made by 21<sup>st</sup> century geophysicists, armed with petaflop supercomputers, are only marginally better than simple historical means. This is a tough scientific problem made orders of magnitude harder by the difficulty of collecting data. We cannot directly measure stresses twenty kilometers underground. Hence the data feeding earthquake models are <em>at best</em> approximate and incomplete. This is unfortunate because models based on sketchy data are essentially conspiracy theories without black helicopters. You won’t find many geophysicists making short-term Vegas bets on the output of their earthquake models.</p>
<div id="attachment_3912" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 315px"><a href="http://www.pnas.org/content/99/suppl.1/2509.full"><img class=" wp-image-3912 " style="margin-left:6px;margin-right:6px;" title="Power law fit of earthquake intensity" alt="PNAS-2002-Feb-99-Suppl-1-2509-13-Fig-2" src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/pnas-2002-feb-99-suppl-1-2509-13-fig-2.png?w=305&#038;h=229" width="305" height="229" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Power law fit of earthquake intensity &#8211; click for details.</p></div>
<p>This doesn&#8217;t mean that earthquakes are random or lack order. Earthquakes are remarkably orderly over geological timescales. They <a href="http://www.pnas.org/content/99/suppl.1/2509.full">eerily fit a power-law distribution</a>. This excellent fit makes it possible to pick any point on the Earth and compute an earthquake probability.  Such probabilities were computed for the seas near Fukushima but the earthquake model used was over-fitted and it dramatically underestimated the likelihood of magnitude 9 earthquakes. The Fukushima model had been &#8220;tweaked&#8221; to echo the fact that <em>rare</em> magnitude 9 earthquakes had not been observed near Japan in centuries. Instead of following a nice linear log-log plot the Fukushima plot was &#8220;bent&#8221; and the bend led to the assumption that it wasn&#8217;t necessary to plan for  magnitude 9 earthquakes and potentially huge tsunamis. Here model over-fitting lead to seawall over-topping. This is not your average stats 101 screw-up.</p>
<p>Looking back it’s easy to see where people went wrong. Maybe evil crony capitalists, bent on saving a few yen on concrete, conspired to sabotage earthquake models before submitting low ball Fukushima seawall bids. Doesn&#8217;t <a href="http://dc.wikia.com/wiki/Lex_Luthor">Lex Luthor</a> do this every other day? Here it’s not necessary to invoke super-villains, good old fashioned short-term thinking, fortified with professional hubris, is all that’s required. Silver makes it abundantly clear that prediction, “<a href="http://www.larry.denenberg.com/predictions.html">especially about the future</a>”, is hard but not necessarily hopeless. This is an excellent book for both lovers and haters of statistics.</p>
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		<title>The Myth of Sisyphus: Camus&#8217;s Absurd Prototype</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/03/15/the-myth-of-sisyphus-camuss-absurd-prototype/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 16 Mar 2013 04:37:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[absurd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[absurd man]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Camus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[literature]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Myth of Sisyphus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sisyphus]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In 1942, with World II raging, readers of The Myth of Sisyphus could easily identify with Camus&#8217;s absurd man. Not only is man absurd he has reduced his entire world to absurdity. Now, seventy-plus years later, Sisyphus readers are more likely to politely yawn and wonder what the fuss is about. Camus&#8217;s themes are not [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=3844&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Myth-Sisyphus-Other-Essays/dp/0679733736"><img class="alignleft  wp-image-3852" style="margin-top:6px;margin-bottom:6px;" alt="the-myth-of-sisyphus-cover" src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/the-myth-of-sisyphus-cover.jpg?w=143&#038;h=221" width="143" height="221" /></a>In 1942, with World II raging, readers of <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Myth-Sisyphus-Other-Essays/dp/0679733736">The Myth of Sisyphus</a> could easily identify with Camus&#8217;s absurd man. Not only is man absurd he has reduced his entire world to absurdity. Now, seventy-plus years later, Sisyphus readers are more likely to politely yawn and wonder what the fuss is about. Camus&#8217;s themes are not trivial or obvious but we, denizens of the early 21<sup>st</sup> century, are thoroughly habituated to them. Absurd is now beyond mainstream; how else can one explain facile growths like Facebook. Just like homosexuals kidnapped the word &#8220;gay&#8221; and changed its meaning Camus abducted &#8220;absurd&#8221; and changed its meaning. The old &#8220;absurd&#8221;, synonymous with ridiculous, nonsensical, ludicrous and preposterous, becomes, in Camus&#8217;s hands, something few would call absurd. But, part of a great writer&#8217;s job description is changing the meaning of words, and it&#8217;s easy to see why the best of us have become absurd men.</p>
<p>Camus&#8217;s absurd man is a thoroughly honorable creature. He respects reason and wants to understand all things. This is beyond his reach but he doesn&#8217;t claim it&#8217;s impossible, only that his own limits make it <em>personally</em> impossible. Perhaps you&#8217;ve vainly argued with scientific illiterates that assert evolution is wrong because <em>they</em> cannot see how it could work. <em>If I don&#8217;t understand it then it cannot be understood</em>. Absurd men recognize, but do not generalize, their limitations. Absurd men also see that in the long run absolutely nothing matters. In a thousand years all but the greatest of us will be forgotten, in a million years even the greatest will be forgotten, in a billion years only precision instruments will detect our remains and in a trillion years it will be like we never existed. Many red dwarf stars will still be shining long after every microscope trace of humanity has disappeared. This is an inescapable scientific truth. It&#8217;s a terrifying banality that is often ignored or wrapped up in sky fairy nonsense. Yet, the absurd man faces cosmic futility without flinching or whining.</p>
<p>Instead of being crushed by a vast, difficult to comprehend, cosmos the absurd man soldiers on. He doesn&#8217;t curl up, go on food stamps, or complain about lurid Koch brother conspiracies. He gives a middle finger to his fate and then does what he can. <em>Up yours universe:</em> this is Camus&#8217;s <em>revolt</em> and, in our time, it&#8217;s a universal sentiment. This part of being absurd is easily faked; every brain-dead rapper and air-headed celebrity sports <em>up-yours-airs,</em> but absurd men do not play at revolt! They do their best to create without delusions and what idiot would claim celebrities are free of delusions? Many like to think cathedral masons were honoring god. Even in the Middle Ages this was delusional. Most were simply earning a living: if a pile of well-shaped rocks pleased god who knew or cared. Besides, in a geological blink, the same cathedral stones will weather to mud. Camus is very clear: absurd creation is self-consciously ephemeral.</p>
<p>Camus started The Myth of Sisyphus with what&#8217;s become his most famous line:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>There is but one truly serious philosophical problem and that is suicide.</em></p></blockquote>
<p>This is one exam question we all face. Cowards run and hide; they turn the knob to eleven and pop sweet &#8212; there&#8217;s an app for that &#8212; distractions. The religious create elaborate fantasies and declare war. Pure rationalists drag in Spinoza&#8217;s objects that long to persist in their being. They don&#8217;t commit suicide because that&#8217;s not part of their program. Ironically, only Camus&#8217;s absurd answer is remotely satisfying. In our lingo:  man-up, stop whining, pull your weight, don&#8217;t take crap, expect nothing, use your head and create. Any modern libertarian would approve.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.wikipaintings.org/en/titian/sisyphus-1549"><img class=" wp-image-3865 alignright" style="margin-left:6px;margin-right:6px;" alt="sisyphus-rocking-it" src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/sisyphus-rocking-it.jpg?w=178&#038;h=201" width="178" height="201" /></a>When casting the prototypical absurd man Camus brilliantly chose Sisyphus. Sisyphus put death in chains, claiming immortality for men, but vindictive and jealous gods freed death and condemned Sisyphus to roll a heavy stone to the top of a hill only to watch it crash down and roll it up again, and again &#8212; forever. This sounds awful but Camus saw Sisyphus&#8217;s fate as a blessing. Life sucks when you&#8217;re pushing your rock up the hill but after it rolls down you get a break. While climbing down the hill Sisyphus has time to think, to absurdly create and, unlike poor doomed mortals, Sisyphus gets an eternity of breaks. This is an absurdly happy fate.</p>
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		<title>Oz the Gratuitous and Purile</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/03/09/oz-the-gratuitous-and-purile/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Mar 2013 20:16:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Movies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entertainment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oz the Great and Powerful]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wizard of Oz]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The original Wizard of Oz, the one we have all seen many times, is on a very short list of nearly perfect movies. Everything about the 1939 film is superb in excess. It&#8217;s as fun to watch today as it was over seventy years ago and you cannot honestly say that about many films. Because [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=3815&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 273px"><a href="http://screencrush.com/oz-the-great-and-powerful-poster-wicked-witch-2/"><img style="margin:6px;" alt="oz_ogp_witch" src="http://bakerjd99.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/oz_ogp_witch.jpg?w=263&#038;h=175" width="263" height="175" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">This is not the Oz you&#8217;re looking for!</p></div>
<p>The original <a href="http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/1092277-wizard_of_oz/">Wizard of Oz</a>, the one we have all seen many times, is on a very short list of nearly perfect movies. Everything about the 1939 film is superb in excess. It&#8217;s as fun to watch today as it was over seventy years ago and you cannot <em>honestly</em> say that about many films. Because Oz is such a towering film classic it has overshadowed all cinematic attempts to reenter and reimagine <a href="http://www.online-literature.com/baum/">Frank L. Baum&#8217;s</a> world. Without exception every Oz wanna-be, and there have been many, suck like motivated gay prostitutes. Perhaps if we hadn&#8217;t seen the original, <a href="http://disney.go.com/thewizard/">Oz the Great and Powerful</a>, might be judged a &#8220;good&#8221; film, but we have and this overblown homage underscores, yet again, the magnificence of the 1939 Oz. I have some advice for Baum fans. If you want to reimagine his world &#8212; read his damn books! Believe it or not the book, <a href="http://www.booksshouldbefree.com/book/the-wonderful-wizard-of-oz">The Wizard of Oz</a>, is as good, if not better than the film classic. As for film makers &#8212; just stop it! Oz is close to sacred ground; if you&#8217;re not a Kubrick-level cinematic genius, <em>and very few of you are,</em> all you&#8217;re going to do is embarrass yourself and induce Dorothy nostalgia in your audience.</p>
<p>Watching Oz the Great and Powerful (OGP) has its own minor schizophrenic charms. On the good witch side OGP is another stunning special effects extravaganza. 21<sup>st</sup> century movies are now in a weird place; if you can imagine it you can render it on the screen. If the ancient Greeks had a god of special movie effects it&#8217;s unlikely he could top your average contemporary big budget &#8212; tiny brain &#8212; movie. For decades producers and directors have strived to out-effect each other and they&#8217;ve finally ended up in a place Sophocles would recognize. Real improvements in modern movies can come from only one place: better stories! It was the telling of the story that distinguished the 1939 Oz. They took brilliant source material and merged it with equally brilliant songs. This is incredibly difficult and rarely achieved. In OGP&#8217;s case they didn&#8217;t even try. The suits that ruin Disney these days have a reputation for phoning stories in. With OGP they&#8217;ve out <a href="http://disney.go.com/johncarter/">John Carter&#8217;ed</a> themselves. I believe a bad Oz witch went all premenstrual on the screen writers. How else can you explain the transformation of classic source material into the <a href="http://www.news.com.au/entertainment/movies/in-case-you-thought-the-phantom-menace-didnt-suck-enough-heres-the-kids-trailer/story-e6frfmvr-1226261913906">Phantom Menace of Oz</a>?</p>
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		<title>Australia It Is</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/03/05/australia-it-is/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Mar 2013 04:50:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alzheimer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Argentina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geotagging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[travel]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m putting up with a little feces storm; it&#8217;s flying off the fan in all directions. Let&#8217;s start with work. Lately it&#8217;s been grueling. I&#8217;m coding like a mad twenty something, wasting my weekends for the man and being very much the good little corporate drone. I do my best to avoid crazy hours but [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=3782&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m putting up with a little feces storm; it&#8217;s flying off the fan in all directions.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s start with work. Lately it&#8217;s been grueling. I&#8217;m coding like a mad twenty something, wasting my weekends for the man and being very much the good little corporate drone. I do my best to avoid crazy hours but I&#8217;ve foolishly allowed myself to <em>care about the problem.</em> I&#8217;m kind of surprised that in my boomer dotage I am still capable of going into deep code: that weird state where you have dreams about iterators and interfaces. In my feverish coding dreams I&#8217;m always one step from nailing a problem, all that remains is a stupid little tweak, but for the life of me I cannot see it.</p>
<p>Moving on: my wife and elderly demented mother-in-law have fled the US. They&#8217;re both back in Canada where my wife is attempting to get her mother placed in a facility that can handle her Alzheimer&#8217;s. My poor wife has looked after her demented mother for almost two years and it&#8217;s completely worn her down. Caring for the Alzheimer stricken elderly is far more draining than looking after newborns. I&#8217;ve done both and believe me babies are a breeze. And, if one demented mother-in-law wasn&#8217;t bad enough, this week I learned my mother has a &#8220;growth&#8221; near the speech center of her brain. We&#8217;re awaiting biopsy results so we don&#8217;t know what the &#8220;growth&#8221; is, but brain growths are never<em> good news. </em></p>
<p>We need a vacation which brings me the results of the <a href="http://polldaddy.com/poll/6805019/">first ever ADND poll.</a>  I asked a simple question: which country should we visit, Argentina or Australia? I didn&#8217;t expect any answers but a few readers chimed in and, the last time I looked, Australia was the winner! Until two months ago Argentina was still in the running but it looks like <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/southamerica/argentina/9890078/Argentina-dispatch-the-troubled-reign-of-Queen-Cristina-of-Argentina.html">Kirchner</a> is a bigger economic imbecile than <a href="http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/010713-639635-obama-says-there-is-no-spending-problem.htm">Obama</a>. You go girl!  Until the economic dust settles Argentina looks like <em>work</em> so it&#8217;s off to Australia in the fourth quarter.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve started marking places to visit. If anyone has suggestions please drop a note.</p>
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		<title>A Memo to the next Murdering Dorner</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/02/14/a-memo-to-the-next-murdering-dorner/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Feb 2013 04:34:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christopher Dorner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Django]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dorner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LAPD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mass murder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[middle-east]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[No doubt you&#8217;ve been following the breathless media swooning about Christopher Dorner and his Djangoistic, fight the power, murder spree and you’re wondering if you should take up arms against a sea of troubles and go off some bystanders.  Before loading up your assault weapons, making suspiciously large purchases of plant food and diesel oil, or enrolling [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=3751&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No doubt you&#8217;ve been following the breathless <a href="http://patdollard.com/2013/02/chris-matthews-heaps-praise-on-chris-dorner-returning-favor/">media swooning</a> about <a href="http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/02/14/how-christopher-dorner-went-down.html">Christopher Dorner</a> and his <a href="http://www.mediaite.com/tv/cnn-panelists-dorners-exciting-rampage-like-watching-django-exact-revenge-for-police-brutality/">Djangoistic</a>, fight the power, murder spree and you’re wondering if <em>you</em> should take up arms against a sea of troubles and go off some bystanders.  Before loading up your assault weapons, making suspiciously large purchases of plant food and diesel oil, or enrolling in flight, but not <em>landing</em> classes, I’d like to take a few moments of your busy pre-murder spree day and try to convince you to up your game. Let’s face it, walking into a kindergarten and shooting up a classroom of tiny nobodies, while undoubtedly good target practice, means nothing in the great sweep of history. Nobody, <em>except the nobodies,</em> cares about the death of nobodies. Sorry, I didn&#8217;t make the world; I just live here pointing out the absurdities. To seize the long-lasting historical notoriety, you so insanely crave, you have to eliminate people who matter. It sounds simple, but here’s the nasty truth: removing people who matter is hard and dangerous work. It requires talent, dedication, planning and foresight: qualities that pathetic psychopaths, like you, often lack.</p>
<p>Still not convinced? Let’s run a little “thought experiment.” A major lament of would be terminators, and just about everyone else on this planet, is that it seems <em>absolutely impossible to fix utterly fixable problems.</em> It doesn&#8217;t really matter what the problem is. How about peace in the Middle East? We’re constantly told that this is a big hard problem. What utter hogwash, formal group theory poses big hard problems; mathematicians wouldn&#8217;t even snort “trivial” when faced with a pedestrian and irritating nuisance like Middle Eastern peace. All that’s required is a few simple peace treaties, a routine exchange of Jewish and Muslim embassies, a state for the Palestinians and boom, instant peace. How about Korean unification? Same old, same old, a formal peace treaty followed by some judicious mine clearing and wire clipping. If the Germans can do it &#8211; so can the Koreans. On a domestic note: how about balancing the goddamn US federal budget? This barely rises to the level of “problem.” Any idiot familiar with addition and subtraction is capable of wielding the awesome technology required to match spending with income. So my poor homicidal friend what exactly is the problem?</p>
<p>If you guessed “people” give yourself a big hug. While it’s true these so-called difficult problems are, when stripped of bullshit, embarrassingly trivial, it’s also true that solving any one them would inconvenience certain people. If you’re a <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/picturegalleries/worldnews/9429104/North-Koreas-leader-Kim-Jong-un-and-his-wife-Ri-Sol-ju.html">fat little Korean boy-king</a> happily banging hotties in your Commie dynasty palace the prospects of being just a fat little boy banging, well nobody, lacks appeal. If you’re a <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/2020/News/story?id=169246&amp;page=2">corrupt Saudi prince-thing</a> used to blaming conniving Zionists for all your screw-ups the lack of conniving Zionists would present difficulties. Similarly, how can you be expected to run for Congress, or the Presidency, without making expensive grandiose promises with other people’s money? One man’s intractable problem is another man’s livelihood.</p>
<p>Getting back to our thought experiment: suppose there was a limited supply of <em>magic brain bombs.</em> A magic brain bomb can beam into the skull of anyone, at anytime, anywhere on the planet. Once beamed in the brain bomb swells, inducing a bout of excruciating pain, and then explodes, thus ending the miserable life of its target, and because it’s magic, nobody can hide or escape from it. You can hunker down in your bunker, hide in a submarine under the ice, melt into the crowd, or surround yourself with a division of secret service agents; it won’t matter! The magic brain bomb will beam in and end you. Obviously, magic brain bombs are potent weapons. If some murderous nut, that’s where you come in, could get ahold of a thousand magic brain bombs many of our difficult problems could be blown away.</p>
<p>Let’s start with Middle Eastern peace. From a masked IP address open a new Twitter account, don’t use your real name, and send a few tweets demanding that Abdullah, Ahmadinejad, Morsi, Netanyahu and so on meet to establish diplomatic relations and negotiate a real Middle Eastern peace treaty. Make it clear that you will <em>blow up their heads</em> at the stroke of noon (UTC) on a particular day if they fail to comply. Don’t expect anyone to pay attention. Twitter is awash in <a href="http://www.nbcnews.com/technology/technolog/justin-bieber-army-fills-twitter-death-threats-again-125690">impotent death threats.</a> You cannot even take a <a href="http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/story/21141805/rubios-water-break">sip of water</a> on national TV without attracting them. Bide your time until the noted hour and then detonate your brain bombs. After they scrape the charred brain tissue off the walls of government offices in Riyadh, Tehran, Cairo, Jerusalem and elsewhere you’ll see a new attitude in the Middle East. It will be ugly at first. Clearly this is the work of the Jews, or the CIA,  or Jews in the CIA, maybe those meddling Chinese Commies did it, perhaps black helicopters and UFOS were involved. Let the craziness subside then, from another place, and on another masked IP address, start a new Facebook account, again, don’t use your real name, and remind the <em>new</em> Middle Eastern rulers of their predecessors failure to meet and hammer out a peace treaty. Then, repeat your demand and warn your audience that you will blow up their heads at noon (UTC) on a particular day if they fail to comply. I’m guessing that by the time you&#8217;ve detonated less than a hundred brain bombs you’ll find an astonishing, hitherto unknown, willingness to compromise and live in the peace in the Middle East. It might take even fewer brain bombs to fix Korea and balance the goddamn US budget. Deleting the right people, in the right way, at the right time can work wonders.</p>
<p>Brain bombs in wise hands could turn shit hole Earth into something of an Eden. Unfortunately, this is just a thought experiment, even the CIA, or the Jews, or the Jewish aliens in the UFOS, don’t have magic freaking brain bombs! For the skeptically impaired: anything with <em>magic</em> in it is either a fraud or imaginary. Regardless of the existential status of magic brain bombs I think my point is clear. <em>Killing nobodies is a waste of ammunition!</em> To precipitate change we can believe in you need to go big! How big is entirely up to you. Here’s one last cautionary note. Going after hard targets is not like waltzing into gun free zones and opening fire. The people most in need of brain bombs are surrounded by others that shoot back. You’re probably going to die taking down a king, but you were going to die taking down a <a href="http://forum.prisonplanet.com/index.php?topic=95261.0;wap2">Burger King</a>, so you might as well up your game and <a href="http://www.aboundlessworld.com/why-most-movements-are-bullshit-and-how-to-actually-make-a-difference/">make a difference</a>. <a href="http://imgur.com/Ph5dE">Do it for the children!</a> The only question is; are you psycho enough for the job?</p>
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		<title>My Dream of Liberty Encased</title>
		<link>http://bakerjd99.wordpress.com/2013/01/04/my-dream-of-liberty-encased/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Jan 2013 05:31:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Baker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dream]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dreams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liberty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statue of Liberty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[visiting the statue of liberty]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I have cinematic dreams that I watch as a little sleeping movie critic. I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;re familiar with this weird state of consciousness. You know you&#8217;re asleep and dreaming; the dream is unfolding around you, but part of your mind, the part that knows you&#8217;re dreaming, is aware and watching. It&#8217;s busy taking notes, making snide [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=bakerjd99.wordpress.com&#038;blog=9342940&#038;post=3720&#038;subd=bakerjd99&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have cinematic dreams that I watch as a little sleeping movie critic. I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;re familiar with this weird state of consciousness. You know you&#8217;re asleep and dreaming; the dream is unfolding around you, but part of your mind, the part that knows you&#8217;re dreaming, is aware and watching. It&#8217;s busy taking notes, making snide remarks, lamenting poor production values and snickering at clichés.  Sometimes it&#8217;s surprised and delighted by unexpected turns. This morning I had an entertaining dream.</p>
<p><a href="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/Trips/USA-and-Canada/New-York-2005-1/7461666_BQ3QDf#!i=481352959&amp;k=thrPPpx&amp;lb=1&amp;s=A"><img class="alignright" style="margin-left:7px;margin-right:7px;" alt="" src="http://conceptcontrol.smugmug.com/Trips/USA-and-Canada/New-York-2005-1/i-thrPPpx/0/M/statue%20of%20liberty%202%20%5B3962082%5D-M.jpg" width="171" height="227" /></a>I was visiting the Statue of Liberty for the second time. I&#8217;ve seen the statue in my waking life and it is well worth the security shakedown you’ll get before boarding the ferry at <a href="http://www.statuecruises.com/pd_directions.html">Battery Park</a>. In my dream I knew that many years had passed since my last visit and I was nervous about recent changes. As the ferry pulled up to the statue&#8217;s island my concerns materialized. The entire island had been &#8220;redeveloped.&#8221; The little park at the base of the statue was gone: replaced by a massive marble covered plaza. Standing in the middle of the plaza was a large, hideous, marble, glass and steel building that completely enclosed the statue. From the island boat dock you couldn&#8217;t even see Liberty! &#8220;Oh crap,&#8221; my dreaming self muttered. Large signs on the dock warned us about &#8220;demonstrative language.&#8221; We were  to conduct ourselves with quiet dignity while visiting this &#8220;shrine of democracy.&#8221; My dreaming self, and the little sleeping movie critic, both inwardly groaned. Nothing says &#8220;democracy&#8221; like shutting up and taking whatever&#8217;s doled out.</p>
<p>I got off the boat feeling hopeful; there had to be a good vantage point to look at Liberty. I was carrying my cameras, so I set off exploring the plaza looking for a good place to take pictures. The plaza was still under construction. Construction fencing blocked off the plaza behind the Liberty building. You couldn&#8217;t walk around the building, but you could go far enough to see that the walls were completely opaque on all sides except the front, where Liberty gazed at the harbor. Her back and sides were completely hidden and exceptionally thick steel girders buttressed the back wall. &#8220;That ought to block incoming planes,&#8221; my dream self thought. My little movie critic wasn&#8217;t happy. <em>Liberty is about open possibilities in all directions.</em> It&#8217;s not about being stuffed in a box and hidden from view. All my selves found it difficult to believe that some moron thought it was a good idea to completely cover the thing we were all there to see.</p>
<p>Determined to get a good picture, I turned back from the construction fence and walked along the base of the building. On the way I passed two little men dressed in black; they were staging a puppet show. Only the puppets weren&#8217;t little dolls on strings they were massive pantomime robots that towered over the tourists. The giant robots were exactly mimicking what the little men were doing. My somnolent movie critic thought, “Cute – the great men are really just little men putting on a big show. If you take away their puppets they’re even smaller and more pathetic than the rest of us.” I took a moment to congratulate my dreaming self for abruptly injecting this metaphor while also noting it was too blatant for refined tastes.</p>
<p>Leaving the puppeteers, I made my way to the front entrance of the building. It was like every visitor center you have ever entered. A fat black woman with bad breath patted me down and made me run my already checked camera bags through an x-ray scanner. I picked up my camera bags and wandered in the Liberty building until I found a dark series of escalators running up the front of the massive statue. I was suddenly happy. This must lead to a good viewpoint. I walked up the escalator steps fumbling with my camera bags. Immediately, in dream steps, I was at the top of the escalators. They discharged into a small dark brown room at the very top of Liberty. In the middle of the room, wrapped in museum display velvet, a bit of Liberty’s crown reflected dim halogen lights. Tourists were touching the exposed crown bit like they kiss the toes of bronze saints. My movie critic approved, &#8220;This is the way we do oppression. We don’t beat people up; we don&#8217;t loudly lord it over them; we don’t get in their big fat stupid faces day in and day out. No, we turn important symbols into tourist attractions, wrap them up as venerated national monuments, and because we have nasty sense of humor, we allow well frisked tourists to touch a bit of, &#8216;Liberty&#8217;, while doing everything we can to deny them real liberty.&#8221;</p>
<p>At this point I woke up and thought, &#8220;Boy John, your subconscious totally nailed it with that one!&#8221; <em>This is how we do oppression.</em> Being a citizen in the <a href="http://www.usdebtclock.org/">Indebted States of America</a> is exactly like being a crown touching tourist in my dream. We pretend the sliver of freedom we’re allowed to touch makes us free but it really only showcases our stupidity and cowardice. A truly free people would tear down the Liberty encasing visitor center and hang the architects from the remains of the plane blocking girders.</p>
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